As we now have four weeks of current season data, the Offensive Tendency projections are starting to improve with each passing week. The Week 5 slate opened up a lot of solid options with increased opportunities including a potentially sneaky shootout where both passing offenses are projected to significantly outperform their typical level of production. I also have a “gut call” for a receiver that I expect to have a huge day.
So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
| Projected | Plays | Pass | Pass% | Pass Yards | Pass TD | Run | Run% | Rush Yards | Rush TD | Score |
| Arizona Cardinals | 68 | 39 | 57.4% | 273 | 1.7 | 29 | 42.6% | 119 | 1.0 | 23.5 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 65 | 36 | 55.4% | 214 | 1.1 | 29 | 44.6% | 116 | 1.0 | 19.0 |
Look for the Cardinals to execute a few extra plays this week against the 49ers with a shift to the running game with Drew Stanton starting at quarterback. As a result, the passing game will see a decrease in both yardage and their opportunity for multiple touchdown passes. Meanwhile, the running game will have a slight increase in both yardage and their likelihood for a rushing touchdown. The Cardinals have run the ball 52% of the time from inside the 10 yard line.
The 49ers project to execute their typical play distribution. The passing game will perform at their typical level for yardage with one touchdown pass. The running game will also perform near their typical production in yardage with a slightly decreased chance for any more than one rushing score. The 49ers run the ball over 71% of the time in the red zone.
Increased Opportunities:
- David Johnson (+)
