Week 10 should be an interesting week with only three games that have a favorite of more than four points. Due to the tight lines finding significantly increased opportunities was a challenge this week but there are still some matchups that helped propel certain players into a good spot to take advantage including a few “three-plus” selections which we don’t see very often. So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

Projected Plays Pass Pass% Pass Yards Pass TD Run Run% Rush Yards Rush TD Score
Cleveland Browns 63 41 65.1% 249 1.6 22 34.9% 91 0.7 18.2
Baltimore Ravens 70 45 64.3% 319 2.0 25 35.7% 106 0.9 24.9
Look for the Browns execute their typical play distribution on the road in Baltimore. The passing game will produce their typical yardage with an increased chance for two touchdown passes. The running game will struggle with fewer yards than normal and a decreased chance for a rushing score. The Browns pass over 54% of the time in the red zone. The Ravens project to run the ball slightly more often than normal as they work with a lead. The passing game will have a significant increase in both passing yardage and their chance for multiple touchdown passes. The running game will also see an increase in production with more rushing yards and an increased chance for a rushing score. The Ravens pass over 56% of the time in the red zone.   Increased Opportunities:
  • Joe Flacco and the Ravens passing game (Mike Wallace/Dennis Pitta) (+++)
  • Kenneth Dixon (+) – Gut Call – Dixon outperforms Terrance West
  • Ravens defense (+)
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