Pleased to be back for the Wildcard Weekend. There are no ownership percentages in this week’s write-up since there are only 4 games. Conceivably, you could take the typical ownership percentages and multiply them by four…but that likely won’t be precise. Enough of that, let’s get to the games. There are two potential blowouts and one complete dud of a game. If you’re wanting to take the contrarian route, then load up on the Texans and Raiders; however, that’s probably not the path to victory this weekend. Good luck!!
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As a reminder, the number in the parenthesis is the number of experts that chose that player so you have more context regarding the gaps between players and the tiers.
- No Players
- Russell Wilson (6x) – Wilson gets to feast on the Lions secondary this week. They have allowed the 2nd most DFS points to QBs and Aaron Rodgers lit them up for four TDs last week.
- Eli Manning (6x) – Eli Manning in the playoffs. That should suffice for what needs to be said about playing him this week. He has not had a stellar DFS season; however, the Pack allow the 7th most DFS points to QBs and we all know what Manning does in January (and early February).
- Aaron Rodgers (5x) – Thers is no argument that can be made against playing Rodgers this week in Cash or GPP. The Giants have allowed the 2nd fewest DFS points to QBs but Rodgers has been other-worldly in the last half of the season.
- Ben Roethlisberger (4x) – The weather will be cold…very cold. Big Ben thrives in that type of game though and his playoff credentials rival any QB in the league. The Fins allow the 5th most DFS points to QBs.
- Matthew Stafford (4x) – The Lions will likely be playing from behind meaning he should have opportunities to put up points. Golden Tate will likely work out of the slot which means Stafford’s favorite target will not have to contend with Richard Sherman.
- Le’Veon Bell (9x) – Bell may be the easiest and most owned play of the weekend. The choices at RB are scarce this week and Bell is the best one in the league.
- Lamar Miller (7x) – Miller will likely see 20+ touches and that usually bodes well for him. The Raiders are less than formidable against the run which adds to Miller’s value.
- Zach Zenner (7x) – Playing Zenner against the Seahawks could get interesting. Though he has 65+ yards rushing in each of the last two weeks and three TDs over that span, he likely won’t see the volume of carries due to the potential of playing from behind.
- No Players
- Paul Perkins (4x) – Perkins seems to be the lead back in the Giants’ backfield now and he’s coming off a 102-yard performance. He has not scored a TD all season.
- Jay Ajayi (4x) – Ajayi showed flashes of brilliance at times this season. The Steelers have not been great against the run in DFS but this is another game with blowout potential that could limit Ajayi’s touches.
- Ty Montgomery (3x) – Who knows what to expect out of the Pack’s backfield with Montgomery and Ripkowski. He could go underowned due to that uncertainty.
- Jarvis Landry (10x) – If the Dolphins fall behind, Landry figures to see plenty of targets. In this writer’s opinion, he’s fairly underpriced at $5,100 on DK.
- Odell Beckham, Jr. (8x) – Let’s see if he can shake off the effects of a trip to Miami on the off day…ha!! He should put up solid numbers in a game that could potentially turn into a rare playoff shootout.
- Kenny Stills (7x) – Stills provides really nice value at $3,800 on DK. He has scored in four straight games and has 9 TDs on the season.
- Doug Baldwin (6x) – Baldwin followed up his 19 target game in week 16 with only two catches in week 17. He’s the top target for Wilson.
- Davante Adams (5x) – Adams scored twice last week and has three TDs in the final two weeks of the regular season.
- Paul Richardson (5x) – A late bloomer this season, Richardson has back-to-back four catch games. A risky play that could provide nice value and go underowned.
- Jordy Nelson (4x) – He’s been a beast coming down the stretch. He narrowly missed the 100-catch plateau but is poised for a big day on Sunday.
- Antonio Brown (4x) – Cold weather but it doesn’t matter with him. Similar to Aaron Rodgers and his teammate, Bell, there isn’t much of an argument against playing him.
- Steling Shepard (4x) – I’ve like Shepard all year and he had a solid rookie campaign. Plenty of opportunities should come his way on Sunday with the Packers allowing the 2nd most DFS points to WRs.
- Michael Crabtree (3x) – Do you trust Connor Cook to get him the ball? If so, feel free to play he and Amari Cooper. Not sure I’ll be jumping on that train.
- Golden Tate (3x) – Tate should avoid Richard Sherman by playing out of the slot. He has double-digit targets in four of the last five games.
- CJ Fiedorowicz (8x) – Has at least 6 targets in the last six games. Only caught 2 balls for 12 yards last week but one was a TD.
- Jared Cook (5x) – Cook and his backup, Richard Rodgers, both caught 30 balls this year. Cook does have 8 targets in two of the last three games.
- Jimmy Graham (4x) – Graham is the highest priced TE and by a wide margin. He caught 4 balls for 64 yards last week.
- Eric Ebron (3x) – Ebron has come on strong late in the year. In the final two weeks of the season, he caught 14 balls on 18 targets for 154 yards.
- Will Tye (3x) – Tye has caught at least 4 balls in three straight weeks though he’s only accounted for more that 30 yards once in those three.
- No Teams
- Seattle Seahawks (5x) – Matt Stafford always scares me a bit as he’s a gunslinging fool. That said, the Seahawks are a safe play.
- Houston Texans (4x) – You want to play a team facing a rookie making his first start under the playoff bright lights? Then the Texans are your team this week.
- Oakland Raiders (4x) – Want to play a team against a sub-par QB, Brock Osweiler? Then the Raiders are your team. On a serious note, these two defenses will likely be the highest owned this week.
- Pittsburgh Steelers (3x) – The Steelers face yet another sub-par QB in Matt Moore. Could be potential for some INTs if the Steelers jump out to a lead and force Moore to throw a lot.
- Green Bay Packers (3x) – The Packers against “Playoff” Eli Manning will not be my first choice this weekend.
Hope that you find the right combination to cash! Follow me on Twitter @mbutlerok.