It is looking like a strange Week 10 in the NFL with every game either a close low scoring matchup or a high scoring blowout. Well, give me the players on the winning side of the high scoring blowouts for my DFS lineups. Also, it appears, maybe, possibly, I think, that Ezekiel Elliott will finally serve his suspension starting this week. I hope it sticks because I’m getting sick of rewriting my Cowboys’ outlook every week.
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Note: DVOA referenced in this article stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average which is a metric from FootballOutsiders.com.
So, let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
The Seahawks are coming off a tough home loss to the Redskins which snapped their four-game winning streak. They will look to get back on their winning ways with a quick turnaround against the Cardinals on Thursday night in Arizona. Seattle continues to have no running game (outside of Russell Wilson who leads the team in rushing yards) and that trend will continue with Thomas Rawls expected to get the bulk of the carries this week against a Cardinals’ run defense that is allowing just 3.53 YPC (7th) this season. So, the Seahawks will have to move the ball through the air with Wilson feeding the ball to his WRs and TE. Doug Baldwin should avoid Patrick Peterson working out of the slot giving him a solid matchup to exploit. Meanwhile, Jimmy Graham could be targeted in the red zone but might not get much yardage. The Seahawks’ defense is a solid option as they rank in the top 8 in sacks and turnovers per game and will square off with Cardinals’ backup QB Drew Stanton.
Stanton picked up a win over the winless 49ers last week but it was RB Adrian Peterson who led the way with 39 touches for 167 total yards. Peterson and the Cardinals have a much more difficult matchup this week against a Seahawks’ run defense that has only allowed 2.88 YPC (3rd) over the last five weeks. Peterson will also not have a positive game script in his favor this week as the Cardinals will likely be playing from behind which should give Andre Ellington more snaps on passing downs. Stanton could have a hard time moving the ball against the Seahawks’ pass defense which ranks 6th DVOA this season as WR Larry Fitzgerald who saw nine targets last week is the only option to consider in the passing game.
- Russell Wilson (**)
- Doug Baldwin (**)
- Jimmy Graham (*)
- Seahawks defense (*)
- Larry Fitzgerald (*)