Hard to believe we are already a quarter of the way done with the NFL season as we enter into Week 5 and the start of bye weeks (Falcons, Broncos, Saints, Redskins). According to Vegas, Week 5 should provide a lot of close games with only two games featuring a favorite of more than three points (Eagles, Steelers). However, we could be in for some lower scoring games with only one matchup (Packers/Cowboys) with a Vegas total over 47 points.
The DFS industry experts seem to be in agreement on who the top plays of the week are which could make Cash games very chalky including five players that our algorithm projects to have over 47% ownership. Knowing the chalk is valuable not only for who you might want to roster in Cash games but who you might want to pivot away from in GPPs.
In this series, we will publish a consensus of NLF DFS expert’s recommendations that take into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position. To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.
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Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 5…