Another big five-day week but little changed for our top experts. We are heading down the stretch of the NBA season and there’s little time to make a run. As MLB approaches and NBA injuries/DNP Coach Decisions become more prevalent, we will make a decision on when to flip the switch to full MLB. That being said, we have at least another 6 weeks of NBA action. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Monday (January 29th)

Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.68 (10th of 20)
Total Plays – 34

A+ – Fourteen of the 34 plays finished with an “A+” grade.
F – Taurean Prince, Tyus Jones

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 7.00) optimized their way to the top as five of their eight plays finished with an “A+” grade.

#2A) Rotowire (Score: 6.67) had a nice start to the week with seven of their nine plays scoring “A” or better including four “A+” scores.

#2B) DK Playbook (Score: 6.67) had the exact same scoring line as Rotowire with four “A+” grades, three “A’s,” one “B” and a “C” grade.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (5.38 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Ivan Rabb (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Myles Turner (FantasyPros)

Tuesday (January 30th)

Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.24 (14th of 21)
Total Plays – 37

A+ – Ten of the 37 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Eric Gordon, Kevin Love, Luke Kennard

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 6.40) scored big on Tuesday. Six of Brad’s ten play scored an “A+” grade to top the list of experts.

#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.20) picked up an “A” or better grade with six of their ten plays including five “A+” scores.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (6.67 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Kyle Anderson (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Enes Kanter (Scout)

Wednesday (January 31st)

Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 3.77 (13th of 22)
Total Plays – 31

A+ – LeBron James, Joel Embiid, Terry Rozier, Kemba Walker, Marc Gasol, CJ McCollum, Nicolas Batum, Josh Jackson
F – Tristan Thompson, Hassan Whiteside

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DK Playbook (Score: 5.44) topped the expert list as five of their nine plays scored “A” or better including four “A+” scores.

#2) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 5.43) brought home three “A+” grades with their seven selections. The RG Lineup Builder was the lone expert to recommend Jarrett Allen and his “A+” grade.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Lineup Builder (5.92 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jarrett Allen (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Wayne Selden Jr. (Scout)
A+ – Justise Winslow (FantasyPros)

Thursday (February 1st)

Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.24 (11th of 20)
Total Plays – 34

A+ – Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, James Harden, Kyle Lowry, Jamal Murray, Paul George, Clint Capela, Andrew Harrison
F – Carmelo Anthony, Malcolm Brogdon

Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Grind Down (Score: 6.20) scored “A” or better with nine of their 15 plays on Thursday to take home the crown.

#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.00) scored four “A+” grades with their 11 selections for the day.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (6.12 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
There were no players that scored an “A+” who were selected by only one expert.

Friday (February 2nd)

Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.54 (6th of 20)
Total Plays – 35

A+ – Fifteen of the 35 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – DeMarre Carroll

Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 7.18) switched spots with RG Grind Down from Thursday. Seven of the 11 plays scored an “A+” grade to end the week.

#2) RG Grind Down (Score: 6.36) finished the week with a bang! Twelve of their 22 plays scored an “A+” grade on Friday.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (5.47 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jarrett Jack (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jusuf Nurkic (DailyRoto)
A+ – Zaza Pachulia (Sportsline)
A+ – Dario Saric (Scout)

Overall Leaderboard

No change in our standings from last week. In fact, not any of the top five expert scores adjusted by more that .02 in any direction. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 4.97) ever so slightly widened the gap between themselves and FantasyLabs. With a .02 uptick in score, they now hold a .03 lead.

#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.94) stayed flat for the week despite having a couple of big days. They are well within striking distance of the lead and could take over at any point.

#3) Rotoballer (Score: 4.90) held steady in 3rd but jumped up .01 in score to become the third expert at or above 4.9 for the season.

#4) RG Consensus (Score: 4.82) also held flat for the week. The RG Consensus can still make a run but they need to start this week.

#5) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.77) took another small .02 step backwards this week. Brad better get hot if he wants to climb above that #5 spot.

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.64) stayed flat in score and standing for the week. The Consensus remains in 7th place.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
16 N/A N/A N/A 87.30%
15 53.50% 55.73% N/A N/A
14 46.71% 66.64% 58.94% N/A
13 52.92% 53.79% 65.90% 85.15%
12 39.91% 36.56% 47.69% 55.64%
11 26.27% 36.78% 46.44% 42.13%
10 28.26% 29.66% 37.40% 55.01%
9 24.93% 21.60% 39.10% 52.54%
8 15.11% 17.43% 24.14% 32.62%
7 11.00% 13.37% 18.80% 32.53%
6 10.87% 11.43% 18.32% 24.77%
5 8.58% 7.43% 11.63% 21.49%
4 3.02% 5.38% 8.44% 15.64%
3 3.33% 4.56% 6.15% 9.40%
2 5.96% 3.25% 3.59% 5.13%
1 0.82% 1.81% 2.27% 2.57%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
16 N/A N/A N/A 55.60%
15 43.50% 39.77% N/A N/A
14 33.36% 41.08% 40.11% N/A
13 33.90% 35.57% 46.20% 52.38%
12 29.24% 29.62% 32.32% 31.58%
11 23.96% 27.03% 30.19% 29.45%
10 22.10% 22.84% 26.46% 35.66%
9 21.37% 19.65% 26.89% 30.65%
8 15.97% 16.43% 20.52% 21.86%
7 11.62% 13.60% 16.34% 21.18%
6 11.82% 11.45% 16.00% 15.90%
5 9.95% 9.06% 12.22% 16.00%
4 5.85% 7.70% 9.81% 11.98%
3 5.67% 6.63% 8.50% 8.26%
2 5.88% 5.11% 5.81% 5.23%
1 3.11% 4.02% 4.05% 3.11%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

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