Monday’s 10-game slate is an ugly one for pitching in my opinion. I have concerns about the high-priced options such as Max Scherzer due to the opponent (Cubs) and Zack Greinke due to the park and weather (Arizona). While I still expect those to be the two highest owned options, I am going to take on a little risk and go in a different direction.

Ace

Carlos Carrasco (FD-$9,400 / DK-$10,800)

Carrasco is still working his way back into form following a month-long DL stint with a hamstring injury. He has made two starts since his return throwing 11.2 innings while allowing seven runs and recording eight strikeouts. I expect Carrasco to take another step forward tonight against a Royals team that hasn’t found their offensive groove this season ranking 2nd worst in ISO (.130) and in the bottom 12 in wOBA and wRC+ against righties this season. I expect Scherzer to be heavily owned and I would use him in GPPs, but I prefer Carrasco tonight in Cash games with a reduced price tag.

Value

Kyle Hendricks (FD-$8,400 / DK-$9,400)

Hendricks is a frustrating pitcher to roster in DFS as he is often pulled after just five innings. Yet he did throw back-to-back games of 8+ innings before his last outing. While the innings have been variable, his fantasy production has not with a 2.90 ERA and 7.5 K/9. Hendricks has also fared well against the Nationals hitters allowing just a .180 wOBA over 51 plate appearances so far in his career. I expect the Cubs and Hendricks to rise to the occasion against Scherzer and the Nationals today making Hendricks a great GPP option and potential Cash game option on two-pitcher sites.

Wei-Yin Chen (FD-$8,100 / DK-$8,000)

It was tough to come up with a second value option tonight but after some digging, I think that Chen is the best option due to his strikeout upside while pitching in a pitcher-friendly environment in San Diego. The Padres do hit lefties fairly well (at least compared to how poorly they hit righties) but they still strike out 24.9% of the time (3rd worst) against southpaws. I would limit my overall exposure to Chen but he is worth a flier in GPPs.

Darkhorse

Matt Boyd (FD-$6,100 / DK-$6,200)

Boyd is another upside play tonight due to his strikeout potential. He will face a White Sox team that has struck out 23.5% of the time (9th worst) and also rank 6th worst in ISO at .137 against lefties this season. Boyd will also have a decent shot for a win with the Tigers facing James Shields who has allowed 17 runs over his last two starts. Boyd is worth a GPP flier and maybe a Cash game option as #2 pitcher on two-pitcher sites.

On the Hill – Results

Friday

Date Type Pitcher DK $ DK Pts Grade
10-Jun Ace Clayton Kershaw 13900 41.00 A+
10-Jun Value Corey Kluber 11400 36.35 A+
10-Jun Value Ian Kennedy 9300 -5.85 F
10-Jun Dark Sonny Gray 6500 17.65 A

 

Season

Type A+ A B C D F Tot DK Cost DK Pts DO Score
Ace 17 5 4 5 1 6 38 $11,653 24.80 5.74
Value 16 9 9 21 1 20 76 $8,403 16.60 3.62
Dark 17 4 5 5 1 9 41 $6,676 18.00 5.27
  • DK Cost is the average DraftKings cost per pitcher selected
  • DK Pts is the average DraftKings points scored per pitcher selected
  • DO Score is the Daily Overlay score for each type

Come back to DailyOverlay later today for the MLB Consensus list and some sample MLB lineups.

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