It was a rough day for pitchers on Wednesday night including three of my picks. We’ll look to bounce-back on tonight’s full 15-game slate that is full of aces. With so many aces on the hill, many of the value plays just don’t seem to be worth the salary savings so I will give two Aces tonight along with a Value play and Darkhorse pick.

Ace

Jose Fernandez (FD-$11,700 / DK-$13,400)

Fernandez is by far my top ace pick tonight. He has been fantastic this season especially at home with a 1.72 ERAS and 40.8% strikeout rate. Fernandez will face a Reds’ team that has the 4th worst wOBA (.297) and 2nd worst wRC+ (79) against righties this season. He is a huge favorite and is a great Cash and GPP play on a night where the ownership percentages could be a little spread out with so many aces on the hill.

Chris Sale (FD-$11,000 / DK-$13,500)

If I pivot away from Fernandez, then I will likely go with Sale who has a favorable matchup against a Braves offense that ranks second to last in wOBA (.273) and wRC+ (67) to lefties. I expect Sale to pitch deep into the game tonight with the All-Star break looming and he has the potential upside to pitch a no-hitter (how is that for bold “gut call”?). I will definitely have some exposure to Sale in GPPs in case he has a magical night.

Value

Jeff Samardjiza (FD-$9,100 / DK-$8,900)

Samardjiza comes in as my lone value play tonight. He has a good matchup pitching at home as a favorite against the Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks have struck out 23.3% (5th worst) against righties this season and Samardjiza has pitched had some success against them this season with a 2.93 ERA, no walks and eight strikeouts in two starts, both in Arizona. I would limit my Samardjiza exposure tonight to a potential #2 Cash or GPP option on two-pitcher sites.

Darkhorse

Matt Shoemaker (FD-$7,700 / DK-$6,700)

I will likely have more exposure to Shoemaker tonight then Samardjiza. Shoemaker has pitched great over his last nine starts with a 2.45 ERA and 10.25 K/9. He has big strikeout potential tonight against an Orioles offense that has struck out 22.5% (7th worst) against righties this season. Shoemaker has also had great success against the Orioles hitters so far in his career allowing just a .167 wOBA with a 40% strikeout rate in 55 plate appearances. Not a huge sample but when looking for a cheap play with upside it needs to be taken into consideration. Shoemaker is a great GPP option if you want to get away from all the high-priced aces and potential Cash game option as a #2 starter on DraftKings.

On the Hill – Results

Wednesday

Type Pitcher DK $ DK Pts Grade
Ace Johnny Cueto 11800 37.15 A+
Value Drew Smyly 8100 -5.60 F
Value Jaime Garcia 8300 10.45 C
Dark Shelby Miller 4600 4.45 D

 

Season

Type A+ A B C D F Tot DK Cost DK Pts DO Score
Ace 27 6 4 5 2 6 50 $11,862 25.36 6.48
Value 21 12 12 26 3 29 103 $8,646 15.78 3.50
Dark 19 8 5 5 5 13 55 $6,582 16.28 4.73
  • DK Cost is the average DraftKings cost per pitcher selected
  • DK Pts is the average DraftKings points scored per pitcher selected
  • DO Score is the Daily Overlay score for each type

Come back to DailyOverlay later today for the MLB Consensus list and some sample MLB lineups.

Follow me on Twitter @Rotopilot

 

Short URL: http://tinyurl.com/grwf9yf
Facebook Auto Publish Powered By : XYZScripts.com