Another good week for the good guys. Brad’s domination of our experts is becoming comical. He picks pitchers, they throw gems, we give him good grades. That’s the drill, folks! Read, read, read his “On the Hill” article four times each week. If you need other recommendations, check out our MLB Expert Grades to get started. Stephen switched to FantasyDraft for our Lineup Construction and Brad and I made a switcharoo on Friday. Read below to check out the details.

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks did, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. We will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. And finally, I will publish results of our Lineup Construction series.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the MLB Industry Consensus articles and MLB Consensus Lineup Construction articles each Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday during the season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first pitch of the first game to get a look at the consensus picks and sample lineups for the day.

Overall Leaderboard

The top-3 overall are below. Total domination from Brad continues as he has created a massive gap between himself and the competition. Check out our season-long MLB Expert Grade Standings.

#1) Daily Overlay – On the Hill (Score: 4.57) continues to lead the pack. It would take a complete collapse, at this point, to make him fall out of first.

#2A) DailyRoto (Score: 3.22) maintains the hold on the #2 spot but they have company this week. Wouldn’t expect to see DR out of the top-3 for the remainder of the season.

#2B) Rotocurve (Score: 3.22) continues their climb into a tie for 2nd. Rotocurve has slowly ascended the leaderboard into this position.

Week in Review

Monday (June 6th)

A nice start to the week for the experts. Only five of our guys finished below 3.0.

Industry Consensus Picks
A 12th place finish on the day for the Consensus with a 2.76 score.

A+ – Jon Lester, Chris Archer, James McCann, Jose Altuve, Kris Bryant, Nomar Mazara, Rajai Davis
F – A total of 17 of the 41 picks finished in the failing category.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotocurve (Score: 8.33) brings home the crown on a fantastic day for the top experts. All three picks scored an “A” or better.

#2) Daily Overlay – On the Hill (Score: 8.25) pulls in a sparkling grade but has to take home a 2nd place trophy. Three of Brad’s four picks finished with an “A+”. Brad was the only expert to play James Paxton.

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Rougned Odor (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – James Paxton (Daily Overlay – On the Hill)
A+ – Nick Castellanos (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Yangervis Solarte (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – Freddy Galvis (FantasyPros)

Tuesday (June 7th)

A bit of a rough day as only six experts scored at 3.0 or better.

Industry Consensus Picks
The Consensus hauled in a 13th place finish with a paltry 2.14 score.

A+ – Zack Greinke, Paul Goldschmidt, Joey Votto, Starlin Castro, Justin Turner
F – A total of 17 of the 36 picks finished in the failing category.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotocurve (Score: 5.67) brings home the hardware for the 2nd straight day. Two of the three plays finished with an “A” or better.

#2) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 4.07) found their way to the leaderboard with one of the lowest “scoreboard” scores we’ve had in weeks.

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Nelson Cruz (RotoGrinders Consensus)
A+ – Ian Desmond (Daily Overlay – BvP for MVP)
A+ – Aaron Sanchez (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Kole Calhoun (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Mark Trumbo (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Trayce Thompson (DK Playbook)
A+ – Jarrett Parker (FantasyPros)
A+ – Anthony Rendon (ESPN Daily Notes)

Wednesday (June 8th)

Twelve experts broke the 3.0 threshold so I think we can call it a solid day.

Industry Consensus Picks
A solid 3.66 score for the Consensus on Wednesday. That will slide you into 6th place for the day thanks to the Cardinals and Yankees.

A+ – Max Scherzer, Taijuan Walker, Kenta Maeda, Matt Adams, Brandon Moss, Jhonny Peralta, Carlos Beltran, Brett Gardner, Jacoby Ellsbury
F – Ten of the 32 selections finished with a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – On the Hill (Score: 7.50) flashes the hardware as three of his four picks graded out at an “A+”.

#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 4.75) managed to put half of their eight selections into the “A” or better category.

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jose Altuve (DailyRoto)
A+ – Mike Trout (DailyRoto)
A+ – Byung Ho Park (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Gregorio Petit (Fantasy Alarm)

Friday (June 10th)

Nothing too terrible for Friday. Usually, we see at least one really bad score but that wasn’t the case. The low score on the day still hit the 2.0 mark.

Industry Consensus Picks
The Consensus finished in 11th for the day with a nice 2.67 score.

A+ – Clayton Kershaw, Stephen Strasburg, Matt Harvey, Steven Wright, Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Davis, Melky Cabrera
F – Twenty of the 42 selections finished with a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – On the Hill (Score: 6.25) finishes off the week in his usual spot. It wasn’t quite the 10.0 that he scored last Friday but still a solid day.

#2) Daily Overlay – BvP for MVP (Score: 4.22) rounds out the week with a clean sweep for the good guys. Nine picks and four scored an “A” or better.

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Johnny Cueto (DailyRoto)
A+ – Wil Myers (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Dustin Pedroia (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Michael Wacha (FantasyPros)
A+ – Dae-Ho Lee (FantasyPros)

Consensus Lineup Construction Review

A fairly even week for the Lineup Construction. Stephen started playing on FantasyDraft and had a decent start to that. Brad and I had to flip-flop at the end of the week…it didn’t turn out too bad, as we both finished in the money for the Cash game. Maybe we will look to switch things up every so often to keep it fresh.

Here is a list of the “rules” we are following when constructing lineups:

  1. Matt will make two separate lineups for FanDuel and Brad will do the same for DraftKings, one for Cash games and one for GPP tournaments. Stephen will now provide a FantasyDraft Cash and GPP lineup for those same days.
  2. For Cash games, we will try to build our entire lineup from the Consensus list using any player listed regardless of what tier they are in. This has proven a bit difficult to get a top-tier pitcher in our lineups by using only Consensus plays. For that reason, we now have tweaked the rules a bit and allow for one off the board play in the Cash game format.
  3. For GPP games, we are allowed to choose up to two players that are not on the Consensus list.
  4. We can modify any lineup as we see fit for any late-breaking news updates that open up good options even if they are not on the Consensus list.

Weekly/Overall Results

FanDuel

Cash game was money in the bank this week on FanDuel. Brad took the reigns on Friday and reeled in a nice finish. The GPP was lagging as we only found the money one day this week.

Day Cash Score Cash Place Profit (Loss) GPP Score GPP Place Profit (Loss) Picks By
Monday 149.8 38/100 $1.60 160.4 639/4,624 $1.00 Matt
Tuesday 111.4 73/100 ($2.00) 132.4 12,392/48,169 ($3.00) Matt
Wednesday 180.6 31/100 $1.60 150.4 21,615/53,949 ($3.00) Matt
Friday 141.1 18/100 $1.60 131.7 4,083/15,028 ($1.00) Brad

DraftKings

Not bad, not particularly good either. Found the money in the Cash game twice this week including my stand-in job on Friday. GPP only cashed on day just like FD.

Day Cash Score Cash Place Profit (Loss) GPP Score GPP Place Profit (Loss) Picks By
Monday 118.55 48/100 $1.60 127.3 604/2,352 ($1.00) Brad
Tuesday 84.05 83/100 ($2.00) 100 1,047/2,352 ($1.00) Brad
Wednesday 110.5 64/100 ($2.00) 159.7 105/1,176 $1.50 Brad
Friday 123.75 20/100 $1.60 82.05 45,965/61,333 ($3.00) Matt

FantasyDraft

Stephen made the shift to FantasyDraft starting this week. He fared well with his Cash game lineups, finding the money three of four days. The GPP was not as kind, however. Stephen was only able to find the money on Friday for a small $.50 profit.

Day Cash Score Cash Place Profit (Loss) GPP Score GPP Place Profit (Loss) Picks By
Monday 121.05 62/113 ($1.00) 107.05 238/397 ($1.00) Stephen
Tuesday 140.9 3/113 $1.00 102.65, 107.75 249/426, 218/426 ($2.00) Stephen
Wednesday 150.55 38/113 $1.00 102.65 249/426 ($1.00) Stephen
Friday 135.65 6/99 $1.00 121.75 86/426 $0.50 Stephen

The grid below shows a recap of the results so far this season. The overall ROI number went in the wrong direction again this week. The switcharoo that Brad and I pulled on Friday was not a bad thing. We may look to do things like that in the future to keep things fresh. Speaking of fresh, Stephen will look to make a score now that he’s transitioned to FantasyDraft.

FanDuel Cash Entry Fees Cash Tot Winnings Cash ROI GPP Entry Fees GPP Tot Winnings GPP ROI Tot Entry Fees Tot Winnings Tot ROI
Brad $2.00 $3.60 80.0% $1.00 $0.00 -100.0% $3.00 $3.60 20.0%
Matt $72.00 $68.40 -5.0% $80.00 $94.51 18.1% $152.00 $162.91 7.2%
Stephen $9.00 $12.60 40.0% $10.00 $8.50 -15.0% $19.00 $21.10 11.1%
FD Overall $83.00 $84.60 1.9% $91.00 $103.01 13.2% $174.00 $187.61 7.8%
DraftKings Cash Entry Fees Cash Tot Winnings Cash ROI GPP Entry Fees GPP Tot Winnings GPP ROI Tot Entry Fees Tot Winnings Tot ROI
Brad $78.00 $68.40 -12.3% $39.00 $33.00 -15.4% $117.00 $101.40 -13.3%
Matt $2.00 $3.60 80.0% $3.00 $0.00 -100.0% $5.00 $3.60 -28.0%
DK Overall $80.00 $72.00 -10.0% $42.00 $33.00 -21.4% $122.00 $105.00 -13.9%
FantasyAces Cash Entry Fees Cash Tot Winnings Cash ROI GPP Entry Fees GPP Tot Winnings GPP ROI Tot Entry Fees Tot Winnings Tot ROI
Stephen $16.50 $8.00 -51.5% $44.00 $22.50 -48.9% $60.50 $30.50 -49.6%
FA Overall $16.50 $8.00 -51.5% $44.00 $22.50 -48.9% $60.50 $30.50 -49.6%
FantasyDraft Cash Entry Fees Cash Tot Winnings Cash ROI GPP Entry Fees GPP Tot Winnings GPP ROI Tot Entry Fees Tot Winnings Tot ROI
Stephen $3.00 $4.00 33.3% $5.00 $1.50 -70.0% $8.00 $5.50 -31.3%
FND Overall $3.00 $4.00 33.3% $5.00 $1.50 -70.0% $8.00 $5.50 -31.3%
Overall $182.50 $168.60 -7.6% $182.00 $160.01 -12.1% $364.50 $328.61 -9.8%

Ownership Percentage Tracking

Below is the current table showing the data we have tracked so far this season. Results are using DraftKings Double-Up or 50/50s for Cash and large field multi-entry tournaments for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The Cash % column shows the average ownership percentage of those players in a Cash game. The GPP % column shows the average ownership percentage of those players in a GPP tournament. The Total column shows the number of occurrences that a player was selected that many times.Displaying MLB-Ownership-Week1.bmp

In addition to the Overall Ownership chart, we have added a couple of items. We broke down ownership percentage by position for the Cash and GPP. You can find those charts below as well.

Overall

Count Cash% GPP% Total
14 68.10% 42.00% 1
13 49.60% 28.40% 1
12 59.06% 41.44% 7
11 61.54% 38.49% 7
10 52.73% 36.07% 15
9 43.51% 27.41% 43
8 33.69% 22.46% 64
7 32.06% 21.29% 77
6 23.31% 16.79% 112
5 20.61% 15.69% 210
4 14.27% 11.76% 315
3 9.70% 9.18% 458
2 6.07% 6.72% 801
1 2.95% 3.75% 1668

Cash by Position

Count SP C 1B 2B SS 3B OF Total
14 68.10% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 68.10%
13 49.60% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 49.60%
12 72.76% 32.50% N/A 17.10% N/A N/A N/A 59.06%
11 63.90% N/A 47.40% N/A N/A N/A N/A 61.54%
10 53.53% 35.90% N/A N/A 26.50% 79.50% 60.20% 52.73%
9 49.44% N/A 43.00% 36.77% 49.70% 31.50% 39.14% 43.51%
8 24.83% 33.59% 32.02% 41.62% 30.36% 37.10% 47.88% 33.69%
7 33.09% 31.43% 22.78% 26.43% 38.64% 29.99% 32.69% 32.06%
6 24.77% 22.43% 19.35% 15.50% 18.43% 27.98% 27.70% 23.31%
5 21.02% 20.57% 18.45% 20.71% 19.29% 16.82% 23.72% 20.61%
4 13.06% 15.81% 10.85% 11.94% 13.67% 12.93% 18.20% 14.27%
3 11.12% 9.96% 9.10% 8.50% 9.92% 7.76% 10.58% 9.70%
2 7.95% 5.06% 4.50% 4.95% 6.37% 4.59% 7.49% 6.07%
1 3.41% 4.24% 2.06% 2.98% 2.50% 2.01% 3.33% 2.95%

GPP by Position

Count SP C 1B 2B SS 3B OF Total
14 42.00% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 42.00%
13 28.40% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 28.40%
12 48.86% 29.90% N/A 15.90% N/A N/A N/A 41.44%
11 40.87% N/A 24.20% N/A N/A N/A N/A 38.49%
10 37.82% 18.70% N/A N/A 17.10% 61.00% 28.30% 36.07%
9 33.05% N/A 21.48% 23.52% 31.18% 20.18% 23.08% 27.41%
8 21.72% 20.73% 18.83% 22.30% 21.66% 19.00% 32.76% 22.46%
7 23.63% 19.50% 15.60% 17.03% 25.02% 19.36% 20.61% 21.29%
6 21.08% 16.03% 13.95% 11.68% 14.50% 17.37% 17.25% 16.79%
5 18.48% 14.56% 14.10% 15.22% 15.27% 13.05% 16.45% 15.69%
4 14.26% 13.91% 8.65% 10.16% 12.64% 9.83% 12.78% 11.76%
3 11.93% 9.40% 6.86% 8.47% 10.15% 7.62% 9.60% 9.18%
2 10.00% 6.87% 5.23% 5.74% 6.71% 5.23% 7.26% 6.72%
1 5.51% 4.38% 2.88% 3.57% 2.99% 2.87% 4.04% 3.75%

 

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