Baseball is not over but we are done grading it here at DailyOverlay for 2016. With NFL ramping up, we will concentrate our efforts in that direction. What a season! We had a blast providing the Consensus and Consensus Lineup Construction four days a week. I hope that there was value in what we put out and that you were able to use it to win some cash. You can find the final MLB Expert Standings at the link. The RotoGrinders Consensus and DailyFantasySportsRankings both finished in the top-3 for pitcher and hitter selections. Those were the go-to guys for money making picks in MLB DFS this season. I’ve also thrown in some data at the backend of the article that Brad put together. I won’t provide any analysis on it but it’s pretty interesting to look at. Enjoy the weekly recap one final time! And we’ll have all you could ever imagine and more for your NFL DFS consumption this fall.

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks did, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. We will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts for the season. And finally, I will publish results of our Lineup Construction series.

As a reminder, we gathered selections and published the MLB Industry Consensus articles and MLB Consensus Lineup Construction articles each Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday during the season.

Leaderboard

The top-3 for both pitchers and hitters are below. Check out the full MLB Expert Standings to see how your favorite experts check out.

Pitchers

#1) Daily Overlay – BvP for MVP (Score: 5.13) takes home the crown for our 2016 MLB Pitcher Expert of the Year! Congrats to Stephen! It wasn’t really even close. Stephen did not provide the volume of picks that some experts did but he provided quality ones.

#2) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.98) finished with a bang in the final week. I doubted whether they had enough “umph” to close the gap but they did. A nice showing for the season!

#3) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 4.97) takes home the bronze, just missing out on a silver medal by a sliver. They actually saw their score jump .04 for the week but could not hold off the hard-charging RG Consensus.

Hitters

#1) DailyRoto (Score: 2.94) reclaimed their rightful spot at the top and took home the prize. Congrats to DailyRoto on the crown and the top position, which they held onto for the majority of the season.

#2A) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 2.81) finished tied with the RG Consensus for 2nd. A solid showing on both the pitcher and hitter side for DFSR. They are the only free site to finish in the top-3 on the hitter side.

#2B) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 2.81) was the other half of the 2nd place tie. Another top-3 finish for the RG Consensus. They found the top-3 for both pitchers and hitters which is a fantastic accomplishment!

Week in Review

Monday (August 29th)

Industry Consensus Picks
The Consensus put up a nice 5.00 score on the pitching side for a 10th place tie. An 11th place finish in the hitter category with a 1.89 score.

A+ – Matt Shoemaker, Carlos Martinez, Yu Darvish, Mike Trout, Mookie Betts
F – Fifteen of the 35 picks finished in the failing category.

Top Experts of the Day – Pitchers
#1) FantasyWired (Score: 10.00) topped the experts with two “A+” grades.

#2) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 6.50) scored an “A+” and a “B” grade on Monday.

Top Experts of the Day – Hitters
#1) DailyFantasyCafe (Score: 4.00) started the week off nicely. They scored two “A+” grades in their five hitter selections.

#2) Rotowire (Score: 3.63) finished 2nd with three of their eight picks scoring an “A” or better.

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Kole Calhoun (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Tanner Roark (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Albert Pujols (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Dillon Gee (FantasyPros)
A+ – Josh Harrison (FantasyPros)

Tuesday (August 30th)

Industry Consensus Picks
The Consensus scored a 10th place tie with a 4.25 score on the pitcher side. As for the hitters, a 2.08 score was also good for 10th place.

A+ – Max Scherzer, Julio Teheran, Ian Kinsler, Adrian Beltre, JD Martinez, Mike Trout
F – Seventeen of the 33 selections finished with a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day – Pitchers
#1A) FantasyeamAdvice (Score: 10.00) cleaned house with two perfect “A+” scores on Tuesday.

#1B) DailyFantasyCafe (Score: 10.00) used Scherzer to haul in a perfect score with their only pitcher selection.

Top Experts of the Day – Hitters
#1) Daily Overlay – BvP for MVP (Score: 7.00) scored big with a fantastic 7.00 score. Four of Stephen’s five plays scored an “A” or better. Stephen was the lone expert to play Jose Reyes and his “A+” grade.

#2) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 3.50) found the top-2 on Tuesday as five of their 14 plays finished with an “A” or better.

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Anthony Rizzo (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jose Reyes (Daily Overlay – BvP for MVP)
A+ – Hanley Ramirez (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – JT Realmuto (DK Playbook)
A+ – Rougned Odor (FantasyPros)
A+ – Jarrod Dyson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Kyle Hendricks (ESPN Daily Notes)

Wednesday (August 31st)

Industry Consensus Picks
It was a good day on the pitching side for the experts. The Consensus scored a 4.33 but that was only good for a 13th place tie for pitchers. A 10th place finish on the hitter side with a 2.09 score for Wednesday.

A+ – Cory Kluber, Luke Weaver, Kris Bryant, Jayson Werth, Jose Bautista
F – 14 of the 28 selections finished with a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day – Pitchers
#1) DailyFantasyCafe (Score: 10.00) used Kluber to secure another perfect pitcher score.

#2) DK Playbook (Score: 7.67) finds the top-2 on Wednesday putting up two “A+” grades and one “B”.

Top Experts of the Day – Hitters
#1) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 4.78) had a solid day on Wednesday. Four of their nine plays scored an “A+”.

#2) DailyFantasyCafe (Score: 4.25) made it a nice day all around finishing in the top-2 for hitters as well. Two of their four plays scored an “A” or better.

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Yadier Molina (DailyRoto)
A+ – Eric Hosmer (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – Kendrys Morales (DK Playbook)
A+ – Ricky Nolasco (FantasyPros)
A+ – Max Kepler (FantasyPros)

Friday (September 2nd)

Industry Consensus Picks
A 9th place finish with a 5.57 score for the Consensus pitchers. A 3.53 score and 5th place finish on the hitter side for the Consensus. A really nice way for the Consensus to end the season on Friday as the Consensus provided 12 “A+” plays.

A+ – David Price, Jeremy Hellickson, Carlos Carrasco, Nick Hundley, Paul Goldschmidt, Rougned Odor, Asdrubal Cabrera, AJ Pollock, Mike Trout, Bryce Harper, Charlie Blackmon, Carlos Beltran
F – 12 of the 37 selections finished with a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day – Pitchers
#1) DailyFantasyCafe (Score: 10.00) continued their run of perfect scores on Friday to top the pitcher list.

#2) DK Playbook (Score: 7.50) closed out the season with a bang as three of their four plays scored an “A+”.

Top Experts of the Day – Hitters
#1) Daily Overlay – BvP for MVP (Score: 5.00) had a really nice finish to the MLB season with half of his eight plays scoring an “A+” grade.

#2) DK Playbook (Score: 4.60) made it a clean sweep in the top-2 on Friday. Half of their ten selections finished with an “A” or better. They were the only expert site to play Pedro Alvarez and his “A+” grade.

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jonathan Lucroy (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Pedro Alvarez (DK Playbook)
A+ – Dylan Bundy (FantasyPros)
A+ – Alex Bregman (ESPN Daily Notes)

Consensus Lineup Construction Review

Well, that was fun! For the season, we finished with a -11.9% ROI; however, we had a blast doing it. The Consensus provides some good plays but this little “project” proves that it’s tough to construct a winning lineup by just using the Consensus plays. There needs to be some additional research done especially for those value and contrarian plays. I hope that we do this again next season!

Here is a list of the “rules” we followed when constructing lineups:

  1. Matt will make two separate lineups for FanDuel and Brad will do the same for DraftKings, one for Cash games and one for GPP tournaments. Stephen will now provide a FantasyDraft Cash and GPP lineup for those same days.
  2. For Cash games, we will try to build our entire lineup from the Consensus list using any player listed regardless of what tier they are in. This has proven a bit difficult to get a top-tier pitcher in our lineups by using only Consensus plays. For that reason, we now have tweaked the rules a bit and allow for one off the board play in the Cash game format.
  3. For GPP games, we are allowed to choose up to two players that are not on the Consensus list.
  4. We can modify any lineup as we see fit for any late-breaking news updates that open up good options even if they are not on the Consensus list.

Weekly/Overall Results

FanDuel

I finished strong on the Cash side of the action on FanDuel. The GPP was not as kind. I honestly don’t remember the last time that I found the money with a GPP lineup and I didn’t even have a lineup that came close in our final week.

DayCash ScoreCash PlaceProfit (Loss)GPP ScoreGPP PlaceProfit (Loss)Picks By
Monday125.131/100$1.6074.834,379/38,535($3.00)Matt
Tuesday11085/100($2.00)60.944,323/48,169($3.00)Matt
Wednesday13119/100$1.6061.236,981/38,535($3.00)Matt
Friday15834/100$1.60118.58,972/13,976($1.00)Matt

Draftkings

Brad had a big win on Friday to close out the season with a positive ROI for his Cash lineups. He finished slightly in the red overall but had a great season.

DayCash ScoreCash PlaceProfit (Loss)GPP ScoreGPP PlaceProfit (Loss)Picks By
Monday136.459/100$1.6072.752,157/2,352($1.00)Brad
Tuesday100.570/100($2.00)112.45585/2,352($1.00)Brad
Wednesday97.883/100($2.00)112.16,866/11,764($1.00)Brad
Friday132.447/114$5.001234,864/14,705($1.00)Brad

FantasyDraft

A nice first half of the week but not a great finish to it. Overall, Stephen had a great year on FantasyDraft. He finished with a 20.2% ROI which is fantastic.

DayCash ScoreCash PlaceProfit (Loss)GPP ScoreGPP PlaceProfit (Loss)Picks By
Monday129.4518/114$1.00129.4560/457$1.00Stephen
Tuesday131.8521/104$1.00131.8553/457$1.00Stephen
Wednesday116.2554/104($1.00)116.25157/395($1.00)Stephen
Friday36.15114/114($1.00)36.15194/194($1.00)Stephen

The grid below shows a recap of the results for the season. We were never able to climb back in the black after the first month of the season. The Consensus is great…maybe not great enough to solely use as a lineup builder though.

FanDuelCash Entry FeesCash Tot WinningsCash ROIGPP Entry FeesGPP Tot WinningsGPP ROITot Entry FeesTot WinningsTot ROI
Brad$12.00$10.80-10.0%$7.00$0.00-100.0%$19.00$10.80-43.2%
Matt$149.00$133.20-10.6%$152.00$117.51-22.7%$301.00$250.71-16.7%
Stephen$9.00$12.6040.0%$10.00$8.50-15.0%$19.00$21.1011.1%
FD Overall$170.00$156.60-7.9%$169.00$126.01-25.4%$339.00$282.61-16.6%
DraftKingsCash Entry FeesCash Tot WinningsCash ROIGPP Entry FeesGPP Tot WinningsGPP ROITot Entry FeesTot WinningsTot ROI
Brad$153.00$154.000.7%$74.00$63.17-14.6%$227.00$217.17-4.3%
Matt$6.00$3.60-40.0%$9.00$0.00-100.0%$15.00$3.60-76.0%
Stephen$6.00$7.8030.0%$11.00$7.50-31.8%$17.00$15.30-10.0%
DK Overall$165.00$165.400.2%$94.00$70.67-24.8%$259.00$236.07-8.9%
FantasyAcesCash Entry FeesCash Tot WinningsCash ROIGPP Entry FeesGPP Tot WinningsGPP ROITot Entry FeesTot WinningsTot ROI
Stephen$16.50$8.00-51.5%$44.00$22.50-48.9%$60.50$30.50-49.6%
FA Overall$16.50$8.00-51.5%$44.00$22.50-48.9%$60.50$30.50-49.6%
FantasyDraftCash Entry FeesCash Tot WinningsCash ROIGPP Entry FeesGPP Tot WinningsGPP ROITot Entry FeesTot WinningsTot ROI
Matt$4.00$8.00100.0%$2.00$0.00-100.0%$6.00$8.0033.3%
Stephen$42.00$40.00-4.8%$47.00$67.0042.6%$89.00$107.0020.2%
FND Overall$46.00$48.004.3%$49.00$67.0036.7%$95.00$115.0021.1%
Overall$397.50$378.00-4.9%$356.00$286.18-19.6%$753.50$664.18-11.9%

Ownership Percentage Tracking

Below is the current table showing the data we have tracked so far this season. Results are using DraftKings Double-Up or 50/50s for Cash and large field multi-entry tournaments for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The Cash % column shows the average ownership percentage of those players in a Cash game. The GPP % column shows the average ownership percentage of those players in a GPP tournament. The Total column shows the number of occurrences that a player was selected that many times.

In addition to the Overall Ownership chart, we have broken down ownership percentage by position for the Cash and GPP. You can find those charts below as well.

Overall

CountCash%GPP%Total
1449.40%36.90%2
1349.60%28.40%1
1259.68%40.80%9
1153.58%34.16%18
1051.25%34.44%32
938.84%26.03%70
834.15%22.20%121
727.66%19.39%165
622.30%16.67%265
518.85%14.85%454
413.79%11.40%659
39.68%9.05%1020
26.15%6.48%1744
12.99%3.66%3804

Cash by Position

CountSPC1B2BSS3BOFTotal
1449.40%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A49.40%
1349.60%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A49.60%
1269.64%32.50%N/A17.10%N/AN/AN/A59.68%
1157.93%N/A47.40%N/AN/A14.90%33.30%53.58%
1052.09%32.85%66.70%23.70%26.50%73.50%60.20%51.25%
941.48%N/A36.74%34.15%49.70%32.94%37.52%38.84%
829.92%34.29%27.17%36.48%38.38%33.09%43.63%34.15%
727.53%27.34%23.77%24.66%35.93%24.67%30.63%27.66%
627.66%19.74%18.57%15.59%17.11%23.86%25.82%22.30%
520.37%16.73%16.69%17.80%17.12%16.29%22.18%18.85%
414.11%13.82%10.65%11.20%13.75%12.65%17.04%13.79%
311.08%10.02%8.04%7.40%9.50%8.68%11.32%9.68%
27.47%6.55%4.60%5.46%6.24%4.69%7.10%6.15%
13.30%3.77%2.22%3.04%2.83%2.37%3.24%2.99%

GPP by Position

CountSPC1B2BSS3BOFTotal
1436.90%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A36.90%
1328.40%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A28.40%
1245.91%29.90%N/A15.90%N/AN/AN/A40.80%
1136.83%N/A24.20%N/AN/A8.50%29.70%34.16%
1035.45%20.95%44.20%20.90%17.10%49.40%28.30%34.44%
930.43%N/A21.75%22.56%31.18%19.50%22.71%26.03%
823.47%20.07%17.47%20.77%22.78%18.44%26.82%22.20%
721.71%18.83%14.98%17.02%23.75%17.30%19.61%19.39%
622.00%15.65%13.05%12.15%14.40%16.67%17.13%16.67%
517.62%13.71%12.68%13.40%14.10%13.16%16.14%14.85%
414.28%11.58%8.65%9.77%12.26%9.68%12.50%11.40%
311.96%9.47%6.67%7.29%9.35%7.98%9.87%9.05%
29.16%7.13%5.05%5.58%6.46%5.41%6.73%6.48%
15.13%3.90%2.86%3.44%3.21%3.02%3.92%3.66%

Additional Data

This is crazy awesome stuff! Please check it out. How can we translate this data into making smarter decisions? If you have any ideas, drop us a note.

CountA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
1401001023.00
1300010012.00
1222210294.22
11801324185.06
101232429324.72
9211057522704.20
837641812441213.80
74618122013561653.87
65832243922902653.44
592502567391814543.12
4134593072473176592.91
320076491288648110202.81
22651278725715885017442.42
1522277206461297204138042.22

 

$A+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$10,00010741213132372695.32
$9,0003017143320381523.38
$8,0004328194028371953.77
$7,000341783326561743.11
$6,000331292321381363.56
$5,0001937750139653959193.06
$4,000496207137350171119025512.85
$3,000372199144326231162829002.08
$2,0008963451039067810681.53

Starting Pitcher

LowHighA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$13,000$20,0002102145336.73
$12,000$12,9992369663535.75
$11,000$11,999372131178875.90
$10,000$10,99926147131521964.08
$9,000$9,9993017143320381523.38
$8,000$8,9994328194028371953.77
$7,000$7,999341783326561743.11
$6,000$6,999331292321381363.56
$5,000$5,99930117916471203.42
$4,000$4,9994573149331114.78
3221338118315228611574.02

Catcher

LowHighA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$5,000$10,0002101010141.93
$4,000$4,99924951310741352.49
$3,000$3,99946312441392344151.95
$2,000$2,9991812616151442111.45
90533571644627751.90

First Base

LowHighA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$5,000$10,0003567229671463.11
$4,000$4,99990352450282264532.81
$3,000$3,99961301941382664552.06
$2,000$2,9997574546741.74
19376571178060511282.48

Second Base

LowHighA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$5,000$10,000201052613531272.60
$4,000$4,99966371653231693642.81
$3,000$3,99950261944282223892.06
$2,000$2,99912962419941641.52
14882461478353810442.30

Shortstop

LowHighA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$5,000$10,000196810154982.70
$4,000$4,99963281146171373023.02
$3,000$3,99951252060292093942.14
$2,000$2,999149823201532271.21
14768471396755310212.25

Third Base

LowHighA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$5,000$10,00028119208431193.45
$4,000$4,99953252339251583232.56
$3,000$3,99951281839352103812.14
$2,000$2,9991174117721121.66
1437154109754839352.40

Outfield

LowHighA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$5,000$10,00059321451181212953.09
$4,000$4,9991546655134593918592.75
$3,000$3,9991135944101624878662.10
$2,000$2,99927211425241692801.75
353178127311163116823002.43

All Hitters

LowHighA+ABCDFTotalDO Score
$5,000$10,0001636643130493487993.00
$4,000$4,999450200134335162115524362.76
$3,000$3,999372199144326231162829002.08
$2,000$2,9998963451039067810681.53
1074528366894532380972032.33
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